Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.557258 0.720549 0.905518 1.127965 1.385641 1.672266 2.012688
2025-10-05 0.332940 0.532543 0.789777 1.133580 1.569192 2.091536 2.753728
2025-10-12 0.197676 0.399409 0.696146 1.133497 1.731715 2.493370 3.507737
2025-10-19 0.107511 0.287572 0.594236 1.092674 1.824610 2.806767 4.169955
2025-10-26 0.056578 0.210343 0.516519 1.063177 1.918528 3.118680 4.841705
2025-11-02 0.030589 0.163384 0.471848 1.070671 2.058708 3.495488 5.613118
2025-11-09 0.013175 0.117438 0.410079 1.033324 2.120081 3.758018 6.234741
2025-11-16 0.006878 0.098764 0.398367 1.080425 2.315428 4.221315 7.151261
2025-11-23 0.002550 0.076384 0.367339 1.082875 2.433628 4.571807 7.916781
2025-11-30 0.001195 0.068582 0.371900 1.156283 2.676081 5.119489 8.982360
2025-12-07 0.000363 0.058301 0.364158 1.201237 2.869920 5.597701 9.958444
2025-12-14 0.000037 0.046655 0.345361 1.217546 3.011513 5.997233 10.827337
2025-12-21 NaN 0.033293 0.311387 1.194047 3.081100 6.290516 11.556344
2025-12-28 NaN 0.026275 0.298003 1.217565 3.240315 6.734674 12.525934
2026-01-04 NaN 0.019740 0.280429 1.226478 3.370711 7.135078 13.438103
2026-01-11 NaN 0.012486 0.248020 1.187805 3.402324 7.370528 14.100922
2026-01-18 NaN 0.007699 0.221645 1.158760 3.449080 7.630887 14.806600
2026-01-25 NaN 0.005284 0.209107 1.167837 3.574672 8.029062 15.736162
2026-02-01 NaN 0.002704 0.183632 1.128718 3.592982 8.239981 16.372298
2026-02-08 NaN 0.002135 0.184785 1.179057 3.809348 8.804494 17.583167
2026-02-15 NaN 0.001216 0.173153 1.181806 3.919414 9.182863 18.501445
2026-02-22 NaN 0.001121 0.181701 1.259823 4.203328 9.878607 19.943145
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000825 0.182151 1.307550 4.420098 10.458184 21.205061